Pricing Growth-Rate Risk

Pricing growth-rate risk

We characterize the compensation demanded by investors in equilibrium for incremental exposure to growth-rate risk. Given an underlying Markov diffusion that governs the state variables in the economy, the economic model implies a stochastic discount factor process S and a reference stochastic growth process G for the macroeconomy. Both are modeled conveniently as multiplicative functionals of ...

Pricing electricity risk by interest rate methods

We address a method for pricing electricity contracts based on valuation of ability to produce power, which is considered as the true underlying for electricity derivatives. This approach shows that an evaluation of free production capacity provides a framework where a change–of–numeraire transformation converts electricity forward market into the common settings of money market modeling. Using...

Pricing Below Cost under Exchange-Rate Risk

Technological Growth, Asset Pricing, and Consumption Risk

In this paper we develop a theoretical model in order to understand co-movements between asset returns and consumption over short and long horizons. We present an intertemporal general equilibrium model featuring two types of shocks: "small", frequent and disembodied shocks to productivity and "large" technological innovations, which are embodied into new vintages of the capital stock. The latt...

Technical Note – Pricing Below Cost Under Exchange-Rate Risk

P ricing below cost is often classified as “dumping” in international trade and as “predatory pricing” in local markets. It is legally prohibited from practice because of earlier findings that it leads to predatory behavior by either eliminating competition or stealing market share. This study shows that a stochastic exchange rate can create incentives for a profit-minded monopoly firm to set p...